Bear Wang

Everything You Need to Know About Stablecoins

Stablecoins represent one of the most important innovations in cryptocurrency, bridging the gap between traditional finance and the digital asset ecosystem. This comprehensive guide explores their mechanisms, use cases, risks, and future potential.

For a complete list of stablecoins, see: CoinMarketCap Stablecoin Rankings

The Stablecoin Trilemma: A Core Analytical Framework

The design of any stablecoin is governed by a fundamental set of trade-offs, often referred to as the "Stablecoin Trilemma." This concept posits that it is exceptionally difficult to simultaneously optimize three core properties: Decentralization, Stability, and Capital Efficiency. Every architectural model represents a conscious choice to prioritize certain properties at the expense of others, providing a powerful lens through which to analyze and compare different approaches.

  • Decentralization: The ability to operate without a central controlling entity, resisting censorship and single points of failure—a core tenet of the original cryptocurrency ethos.
  • Stability: The ability to reliably maintain the peg to a reference asset, even during periods of market stress.
  • Capital Efficiency: The amount of capital required to create and back a unit of the stablecoin. A 1:1 backing is highly efficient, whereas requiring significantly more collateral than the coin's value is inefficient.

The market has produced various models, each representing a different solution to this trilemma. Fiat-backed stablecoins, for instance, achieve high stability and capital efficiency but sacrifice decentralization by relying on centralized issuers and traditional banks. Conversely, early algorithmic stablecoins aimed for perfect decentralization and capital efficiency but proved catastrophically unstable. Understanding these inherent trade-offs is essential to grasping the mechanics, risks, and market positioning of any stablecoin.

Categories of Stablecoins

Collateralized Stablecoins

The most prevalent and trusted approach to achieving stability is through collateralization. In this paradigm, each stablecoin token in circulation is backed by a reserve of assets, creating a credible promise that the token can be redeemed for its underlying value, which in turn establishes a price floor.

Fiat-Collateralized Stablecoins

Fiat-collateralized stablecoins are the most common and widely adopted type, representing the vast majority of the market's total value.

  • Mechanism: These stablecoins are backed at a 1:1 ratio by reserves of a specific fiat currency, most commonly the U.S. dollar. For every stablecoin token issued, the issuer holds one dollar (or its equivalent) in reserve. These reserves typically consist of highly liquid, low-risk assets such as cash held in bank accounts and short-term U.S. Treasury securities. Centralized issuers, such as Circle for USD Coin (USDC) and Tether for Tether (USDT), manage this process by "minting" new tokens when users or institutional partners deposit fiat currency and "burning" (destroying) tokens when they are redeemed back into fiat.
  • Examples: The market is dominated by fiat-collateralized tokens, including Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), PayPal USD (PYUSD), and the formerly prominent Binance USD (BUSD).
  • Key Dependencies: The entire model rests on trust in the centralized issuer and its partners. Users must trust that the issuer maintains adequate reserves, that these reserves are properly managed by third-party custodians like regulated banks, and that the issuer will honor redemption requests. This trust is reinforced through regular, independent audits or attestations that verify the composition and sufficiency of the reserves.

Commodity-Collateralized Stablecoins

This model extends the asset-backed concept from currency to tangible, real-world commodities.

  • Mechanism: These stablecoins are pegged to the market value of physical assets, most commonly precious metals like gold, but could theoretically include silver, oil, or real estate. Each token represents a direct claim on a specific quantity of the underlying commodity—for example, one token might represent one troy ounce of gold. This physical commodity is held in storage by a trusted third-party custodian in a secure, audited vault. Redemption may involve the holder taking physical delivery of the asset at a designated location or receiving its cash equivalent.
  • Examples: The most prominent examples are PAX Gold (PAXG), where each token represents one fine troy ounce of a London Good Delivery gold bar stored in a Brink's vault, and Tether Gold (XAUT).
  • Key Dependencies: Similar to fiat-backed coins, this model is highly dependent on the trustworthiness of the issuer and the custodian of the physical asset. The integrity of the system relies on regular audits that verify not only the quantity of the commodity but also its quality and secure storage.

Crypto-Collateralized Stablecoins

Seeking a more decentralized approach, crypto-collateralized stablecoins use other cryptocurrencies as backing, keeping the entire system on the blockchain.

  • Mechanism: These stablecoins are backed by a reserve of volatile crypto assets, such as Ethereum (ETH). To counteract the significant price fluctuations of the underlying collateral, these systems are designed to be over-collateralized—meaning the value of the crypto assets locked as collateral is substantially greater than the value of the stablecoins issued. For instance, a user might be required to deposit $2,000 worth of ETH into a smart contract to mint $1,000 worth of a stablecoin, resulting in a 200% collateralization ratio. This process is managed automatically by smart contracts, often known as Collateralized Debt Positions (CDPs) or Vaults. If the collateral's value falls below a predetermined threshold, the smart contract automatically liquidates the collateral to ensure the stablecoin remains fully backed.
  • Examples: The pioneering and most successful example is Dai (DAI), governed by the MakerDAO decentralized autonomous organization and backed by a diversified basket of cryptocurrencies. Other examples include Synthetix USD (sUSD).

Non-Collateralized Stablecoins

The most ambitious and experimental category of stablecoins attempts to maintain a stable peg without relying on any direct collateral. Instead, they use algorithms, smart contracts, and economic incentives to dynamically manage the token's supply in response to market demand.

The Seigniorage Model (Dual-Token)

  • Mechanism: This model typically employs a two-token system. The first is the stablecoin itself, which aims to maintain the peg (e.g., to $1). The second is a volatile token (which can be called a "share," "governance," or "bond" token) that is designed to absorb the price volatility of the stablecoin. The system works through arbitrage incentives. If the stablecoin's price rises above $1, the algorithm mints new stablecoins to increase supply and push the price down. If the price falls below $1, the protocol incentivizes users to exchange their stablecoins for the volatile token (often at a discount), which removes stablecoins from circulation (a process called "burning") and pushes the price back up. The buyers of the volatile token are betting that the peg will be restored, allowing them to profit.
  • Case Study: The Terra/LUNA ecosystem is the most famous and cautionary example of this model. TerraUSD (UST) was the algorithmic stablecoin, and LUNA was the volatile token meant to absorb its price deviations. Its spectacular collapse in May 2022, which erased tens of billions of dollars in value, exposed the inherent fragility and reflexive nature of this design when faced with a crisis of confidence.

The Rebase Model (Elastic Supply)

  • Mechanism: This model uses a single token but with an "elastic" supply. The protocol's smart contracts automatically adjust the total number of tokens in circulation to maintain the price peg. These supply adjustments, known as "rebases," affect every holder's wallet proportionally. For example, if the token's price increases to $2, the rebasing mechanism might double the supply, meaning a user holding 100 tokens would now have 200. The price of each token would fall back toward $1, but the total value of the user's holding would remain the same. The reverse happens if the price falls below the peg.
  • Example: Ampleforth (AMPL) is the most well-known rebase stablecoin.

Hybrid and Fractional-Algorithmic Models

  • Mechanism: Seeking a middle ground, these models attempt to blend the security of collateralization with the capital efficiency of algorithms. A fractional-algorithmic stablecoin might be partially backed by collateral (like USDC) and partially stabilized by an algorithmic mechanism. The ratio of collateral to algorithmic backing can be dynamic, adjusting based on market conditions.
  • Example: Frax (FRAX) was a prominent example of this hybrid approach. However, in the wake of the Terra collapse, the market's confidence in any algorithmic component plummeted, and the Frax protocol has since shifted to a fully collateralized model, underscoring the market's current preference for tangible backing over algorithmic promises.

De-Pegging Risk Analysis

A stablecoin's primary—and arguably only—purpose is to remain stable. When it fails to hold its peg, it has failed its core mission. Each model, however, is vulnerable to different types of failure.

  • Counterparty & Custodial Risk (Fiat/Commodity): Fiat-backed stablecoins are often perceived as the safest model, but they are not risk-free. Their stability is directly tied to the health of the traditional financial system they rely on. This risk was starkly demonstrated in March 2023 when Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapsed. Circle, the issuer of USDC, revealed it held $3.3 billion of its reserves at the failed bank, making that capital temporarily inaccessible. The market reacted instantly—fearing that Circle could no longer redeem every USDC for a full dollar, traders rushed to sell, causing USDC to "de-peg" and fall to a low of $0.87. This event demonstrated that fiat-backed stablecoins do not eliminate risk; they simply import the systemic risks of traditional finance, such as bank failures and liquidity crises, onto the blockchain. Their peg is only as strong as their weakest banking partner.

  • Market & Collateral Risk (Crypto-Collateralized): The strength of crypto-collateralized stablecoins is their decentralization, but their weakness is reliance on volatile collateral. The over-collateralization model is designed to absorb normal price fluctuations. However, a "black swan" event—a sudden and severe market crash—could cause the collateral's value to plummet so quickly that the system's automated liquidation mechanisms are overwhelmed. This could lead to a cascade of forced liquidations, further depressing the collateral's price and potentially leaving the stablecoin under-collateralized, breaking the peg.

  • Algorithmic & Reflexivity Risk (Non-Collateralized): Algorithmic stablecoins are the most fragile. Their stability is based not on assets, but on collective belief in the algorithm's ability to maintain the peg. Once that belief breaks, a catastrophic feedback loop, or "death spiral," can occur. The 2022 collapse of TerraUSD (UST) and its sister token LUNA is the canonical example. When market pressure pushed UST slightly below its $1 peg, it triggered fear. Users rushed to redeem their UST, which involved minting massive amounts of LUNA, flooding the market and crashing its price. As LUNA's value evaporated, the market lost all confidence that it could ever restore UST's peg, creating a bank run where the "reserve asset" (LUNA) was simultaneously collapsing in value, leading to complete failure of the mechanism and destruction of both tokens.

  • Smart Contract Risk: This technological risk applies to any blockchain-based system but is particularly acute for decentralized stablecoins. A bug, flaw, or exploit in the smart contract code of a crypto-collateralized or algorithmic stablecoin could be exploited by attackers, potentially leading to theft of all collateral or complete breakdown of the pegging mechanism.

The Expanding Universe of Stablecoin Use Cases

The primary and most established role for stablecoins remains within the digital asset ecosystem itself. They serve as the principal on-ramp for converting fiat currency into crypto, the base unit of account on most centralized and decentralized exchanges, and the most common asset for creating liquid trading pairs. For traders, converting to a stablecoin is the quickest way to exit a volatile position without the slow and costly process of converting back to fiat currency.

The Engine of Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

Stablecoins are the indispensable fuel powering the DeFi ecosystem. Their price stability makes them ideal for a wide range of on-chain financial activities:

  • Lending and Borrowing: DeFi lending platforms like Aave and Compound are built around stablecoins. Users can deposit stablecoins to earn variable yields or use their more volatile crypto assets as collateral to borrow stablecoins.
  • Yield Farming and Liquidity Provision: "Liquidity providers" deposit stablecoins into trading pools of decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Uniswap. In return for providing this liquidity, they earn a share of trading fees generated by the pool—a practice often called "yield farming."
  • Decentralized Derivatives: Stablecoins serve as the primary form of collateral and settlement for on-chain derivatives protocols, which offer products like perpetual futures and options without traditional intermediaries.

Bridging to the Real World

The most significant growth area for stablecoins lies in their ability to connect blockchain technology with real-world economic activity.

  • Cross-Border Payments & Remittances: This is one of the most transformative use cases. Traditional international payments rely on the correspondent banking system—a complex web of intermediaries that makes transactions slow (taking days to settle) and expensive (with high fees). Stablecoins, operating on global, 24/7 blockchain networks, enable near-instant, low-cost peer-to-peer transfers. This is a game-changer for businesses settling international invoices and for individuals, particularly migrant workers, sending remittances to their home countries.

  • A Haven in Hyperinflationary Economies: In countries plagued by extreme inflation and currency devaluation, such as Argentina, Nigeria, and Turkey, stablecoins have become a financial lifeline. They provide citizens with direct and accessible access to the U.S. dollar, allowing them to protect their savings and preserve purchasing power in ways that are often difficult or impossible through traditional financial channels.

  • Payments for Real-World Assets (RWAs): A major trend in finance is the "tokenization" of real-world assets—representing ownership of stocks, bonds, real estate, and carbon credits as tokens on a blockchain. As this market grows, stablecoins are emerging as the default payment rail, allowing investors to purchase and trade tokenized RWAs instantly and efficiently on-chain while eliminating the need for fiat conversions and multiple intermediaries.

The Stablecoin Profit Model

The primary business model for the dominant fiat-collateralized stablecoin issuers, which command over 90% of the market, is deceptively straightforward: earning interest on the vast pools of reserve assets backing their tokens. This model, analogous to a money market fund that retains all its yield, has proven exceptionally lucrative in a high-interest-rate environment. Issuers like Tether have reported multi-billion-dollar profits, transforming customer deposits into substantial corporate revenue. This core strategy, however, belies a complex and evolving landscape of strategic differentiation, emerging revenue streams, and profound underlying risks.

A key theme emerging within the industry is the strategic divergence between major players. Tether (USDT), the market's largest issuer, exemplifies a model of pure profit maximization derived from its massive reserve base. Having become one of the world's largest holders of U.S. Treasurys, its profitability is a direct function of its scale and prevailing interest rates. In stark contrast, Circle (USDC) is actively diversifying away from this interest-rate-dependent model. It is building a suite of enterprise-grade Application Programming Interface (API) and platform services, strategically positioning itself as a "Stripe for digital dollars" to create more resilient, software-like recurring revenue.

This report contrasts the off-chain, interest-based revenue of these centralized issuers with the on-chain, protocol-native revenue of their decentralized counterparts. Protocols such as MakerDAO (DAI) generate income through mechanisms intrinsic to the blockchain, primarily "Stability Fees"—interest charged on crypto-collateralized loans—and liquidation penalties. This creates a business model tied to the cycles of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) activity rather than the monetary policy of traditional central banks. However, even these protocols are increasingly building bridges to traditional finance, incorporating Real-World Assets (RWAs) to stabilize their income.

Stablecoins vs. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is a digital form of a country's official fiat currency. Unlike a stablecoin, which is issued by a private company, a CBDC is a direct liability of the nation's central bank. Think of it this way: the physical cash in your wallet is a direct claim on the central bank; a CBDC would be the digital equivalent of that cash.

The future of digital money is not a simple binary choice between privately issued stablecoins and state-issued CBDCs. Instead, a complex dynamic of competition and coexistence is emerging.

  • Geopolitical Competition: The "stablecoin race" is a clear manifestation of geopolitical strategy. The United States, through legislation like the GENIUS Act, is moving to legitimize and regulate privately issued, dollar-pegged stablecoins. This approach is seen as a way to extend the U.S. dollar's global dominance into the digital age, ensuring that the world's primary digital currency remains the dollar. In contrast, economic rivals like China and blocs like the European Union are actively pursuing their own state-controlled CBDCs. Their motivation is largely defensive: to maintain monetary sovereignty, counter the influence of digital dollarization, and create alternative payment rails outside of U.S. control.
  • A Coexistent Ecosystem: It is highly probable that these two models will ultimately coexist, serving different functions within the financial system. CBDCs could form the foundational settlement layer—the ultimate risk-free digital asset issued by the central bank. Private stablecoins, meanwhile, could operate on top of this layer, driving innovation in consumer-facing applications, DeFi, and specialized commercial use cases. This mirrors the structure of today's financial system, where private commercial bank money (deposits) circulates widely, while final settlement occurs using central bank money.

What Happened to BUSD?

BUSD can only be redeemed; new BUSD cannot be minted. The stablecoin is being phased out due to significant regulatory action that took place in early 2023.

The primary reason for BUSD's shutdown was a direct order from the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) to its issuer, Paxos Trust Company.

It's crucial to understand the two main entities involved:

  • Binance: The world's largest crypto exchange, which licensed its brand name ("BUSD" and "Binance USD") for the stablecoin.
  • Paxos Trust Company: A New York-regulated financial institution and trust company that was the actual issuer and operator of BUSD. Paxos held the U.S. dollar reserves that backed every BUSD token.

On February 13, 2023, the NYDFS ordered Paxos to cease minting new BUSD tokens. The regulator cited "several unresolved issues related to Paxos’s oversight of its relationship with Binance," particularly concerning BUSD tokens issued on blockchains other than Ethereum.

How UST and LUNA Worked Together and Why They Collapsed

Think of UST and LUNA as two children on a playground seesaw:

  • UST (TerraUSD) is the child who wants to stay perfectly level at exactly 1 meter off the ground ($1.00).
  • LUNA is the bigger, more active child who has to run back and forth on their side of the seesaw to keep the UST child perfectly level. LUNA's position goes up and down wildly in the process.

The entire system was built on one Golden Rule: The Terra protocol would always let you swap 1 UST for exactly $1.00 worth of LUNA, regardless of UST's market price.

Let's examine two examples:

Example 1: UST Price Drops Below $1.00

This scenario led to the death spiral.

The Situation: Market panic causes people to rush selling their UST, and its price on exchanges like Binance or Kraken drops to $0.98.

How the system was supposed to fix it:

  1. The Arbitrage Opportunity: A smart trader (let's call her Alice) recognizes she can make guaranteed profit.
  2. Alice's Actions (The Arbitrage Trade):
    • Step A: Alice goes to an exchange and buys 100,000 UST for $98,000 (since each is only worth $0.98).
    • Step B: She then goes to the Terra protocol itself and uses the Golden Rule to swap her 100,000 UST for LUNA. The protocol says, "I don't care that the market price is $0.98. My rule says 1 UST is worth $1.00. I will give you $100,000 worth of LUNA."
    • Step C: The protocol instantly mints and gives Alice $100,000 worth of new LUNA tokens.
    • Step D: Alice immediately sells these new LUNA tokens on the market for $100,000 cash.

The Result:

  • For Alice: She started with $98,000 and ended with $100,000—a $2,000 risk-free profit.
  • For the System: Alice's actions (and thousands of others like her) removed 100,000 UST from circulation (they were "burned" in the swap). This reduction in supply makes UST more scarce, helping push its price back up towards $1.00. However, LUNA's supply increased, putting downward pressure on its price.

In this case, LUNA's value was sacrificed (diluted) to defend UST's peg.


Example 2: UST Price Rises Above $1.00

The Situation: A huge surge in demand for UST causes its price on exchanges to rise to $1.02.

How the system was supposed to fix it:

  1. The Arbitrage Opportunity: Alice sees another chance for profit.
  2. Alice's Actions (The Arbitrage Trade):
    • Step A: Alice goes to an exchange and buys $100,000 worth of LUNA.
    • Step B: She immediately goes to the Terra protocol and uses the Golden Rule in reverse. She says, "I want to swap this LUNA for UST." The protocol says, "Okay, you have $100,000 worth of LUNA. I will mint and give you 100,000 UST."
    • Step C: Alice takes her 100,000 new UST and immediately sells them on an exchange where they are trading for $1.02 each, for a total of $102,000.

The Result:

  • For Alice: She started with $100,000 and ended with $102,000—another $2,000 risk-free profit.
  • For the System: Alice's actions created 100,000 new UST, increasing its supply and pushing its price back down towards $1.00. In this process, her LUNA was "burned," reducing LUNA's supply and making it more valuable.

In this case, LUNA's value was boosted as a reward for helping bring UST's price back down.

Why Did It Fail?

The first example is the key. The entire system relied on the belief that LUNA would always have value.

During the May 2022 crash, selling pressure on UST was so immense that arbitrageurs had to mint an astronomical amount of new LUNA to try and fix it. LUNA's supply hyper-inflated, and its price crashed by over 99.9%.

Once LUNA became worthless, there was nothing left to prop up UST's price. The seesaw broke. No one wanted to swap their $0.98 UST for a LUNA token that was also worth almost zero. The "guaranteed profit" disappeared, the mechanism failed, and both tokens entered a death spiral.

The Future of Money in a Tokenized Economy

The stablecoin sector has rapidly matured from a niche crypto-native experiment into a formidable force testing the foundations of the global financial system. Once used almost exclusively to facilitate trading in volatile cryptocurrencies, stablecoins are now a multi-hundred-billion-dollar asset class enabling trillions of dollars in annual transactions, with expanding use cases in cross-border payments, DeFi, and as a hedge against inflation. Looking to the future, the evolution of stablecoins will be defined by the interplay of geopolitical competition, technological innovation, and mainstream financial integration.